NCAA Tournament

Was Memphis Overrated?

Missouri's Tigers knocked Memphis' Tigers over and out of the NCAA tournamentThis is too easy, right? You watch all year as Memphis rolls through Conference USA without a challenge. You listen to the debates about whether it'd finish any better than sixth in the Big East. You ponder its tournament seeding, weighing the impressive lack of losses against the unimpressive quality of the competition against which the record was built. And then Memphis gets smacked in the mouth and knocked out in the Sweet 16 by a team from the Big 12 and you get to say, "See?? See?? We TOLD you they couldn't play with the teams from the real conferences! Oh-ver-RAY-ted!"

This was supposed to have been put to bed a year ago, when Memphis hit all its free throws and steamrolled its way to within one miracle Mario Chalmers 3-pointer of the national championship. But looking back now, in the wake of this follow-up season, it becomes easier than ever to dismiss the 2008 run as a Derrick Rose phenomenon (anybody else wish we'd got to see Rose and Tyreke Evans play together?) and file these 2009 Tigers in the same bin as those that preceded Mr. Rose.

The history books will tell you that Memphis' four losses this season were to Xavier, Georgetown, Syracuse and Missouri. That's three Sweet 16 teams and another team from the Big East. No shame in any of those losses (our mighty Hoyas still looked good back in mid-December when that happened, and it was an overtime loss), but the 27 wins the Tigers piled up in between the Syracuse loss and the Missouri loss can't mean much now that they have to watch the tournament's final three rounds on TV.

On this night, Missouri was just the better team. In a zany game that saw both teams shoot over 49 percent from the field and under 67 percent from the free-throw line, Missouri got more defensive stops (in transition and in the half-court) and made more plays on offensive (including a dazzling 70-footer at the halftime buzzer to go up by 13 at the half). Memphis' second-half comeback attempt was valiant and drawn-out, but by the end it had as much to do with Missouri's inability to put the game away from the line as it did with Memphis' ability to play with them. Both teams were gassed about midway through the second half, and the difference was that Missouri had the massive lead.

In an earlier post, I outlined some reasons why I don't like the UConn-Missouri matchup for Missouri, and I stick by that analysis. Missouri was brilliant in the first half of this game, but it was sloppy in the second half, and UConn is going to play much tougher defense than Memphis did. As long as the UConn guards can handle the press (they should be able to), the Huskies will get Missouri into enough half-court sets to accentuate their advantages in size and strength. Missouri will contest shots and passes, but UConn likes to do those things too, and its players are better. Much as I loved watching Missouri tonight, its next game is going to be a lot tougher, and probably part of this ongoing coronation of the Big East.

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